Chinese Academy of Social Sciences: The room rate will drop in the fourth quater The amount of decrease is up to 20%

Chinese Academy of Social Sciences: The room rate will drop in the fourth quater The amount of decrease is up to 20%

A succession of adjustment of real estate market was issued, in addition, Central Bank has increased the interest for the first time over the past three years, most market personages say the room rate drop not basically suspenseful at the end of the year. And the research report which the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences releases newly is expected, the room rate of our country has dropped since fourth quarter of 2010, the greatest amount of decrease will be up to 20%.
From " ten countries " Till now, the policy of involving the real estate and adjusting and controlling is close to more than 50, the expert says, if the policy is carried out strictly, it will be that the room rate drop to add up to the effect. The research report of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences shows too, measure of this macro adjustments and controls, will make a gleam of urban room rate drop by 20%, it is estimated from the second half of 2011, the room rate may touch the bottom and rebound.
The report of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences thinks, in the following half years, the overall financing scale of real estate trade will become urgent, CPI will fall after rise after seeing and carrying September of this year in the same period, but under the circumstances that various policies come as a hard blow at, the market demand of the real estate will present certain shinking, the market will enlarge to supply gradually instead, make the supply and demand shortfall shoulder from rotating clockwise the impetus of the room rate gradually.
The report still judges, monthly increment is expected to fall after rise to 500 billion yuan that RMB grant the loan in the following one years, the acceleration rate compared with the same period of last year may continue falling after rise to 20% too. The data of Chinese Central Bank reveal, the RMB loan increases by 6,300 billion yuan in the past three quarters, having increased by 595,500 million yuan in September alone, if according to total amount of 7,500 billion of the whole year, only 1,200 billion yuan can be borrowed in the fourth quater, only 400 billion yuan every month on average.
In addition, the SFC issues the documents to examine a developer to recombinate severely recently, and obtain outside the bank table through the cooperation of silver letter the route of the loan is stopped up and dies by Bank Supervisory Committee, combined with the restriction on offshore funds of the government, the report is expected, to the first quarter of 2011, the acceleration rate compared with the same period of last year of the financing scale of real estate trade may fall from 40% of July of 2010 after rise to 20%.
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